There are a number of great websites that are collating data on voting intentions for 7 May’s general election. This series intends to track these poll of polls to try and pick up shifts, subtle changes and patterns. It is a poll of poll of polls.
Note: Unlike the people behind the websites listed below, I am not an expert in statistics, odds and outcomes. I’m just very interested in psephology and elections. Please let me know if I’ve got something wrong and I’d be happy to correct where necessary.
Election Forecast |
UK Polling Report |
Bet 2015 |
|
Conservatives |
288 seats | 34.1% vote | 253 seats | 33% vote | 277 seats |
Labour |
271 seats | 31.6% vote | 308 seats | 34% vote | 274 seats |
Lib Dems |
26 seats | 13.6% vote | 18 seats | 7% vote | 31 seats |
UKIP |
1 seat | 11% vote | 15% vote | 3 seats |
Greens |
1 seat | 3.9% vote | 6% vote | 1 seat |
SNP |
42 seats | 3.2% vote | 37 seats | 3.0% vote | 41 seats |
Others |
21 seats | 2.6% vote | 29 seats | 3.0% vote | 23 seats |
Data taken at 18:30 on 13 March 2015 from:
Any mistakes in interpretation of the data are mine. I’d be happy to discuss and, if necessary correct.